Wednesday, August 15, 2012

Citizen Exit Poll 2012


Citizen Exit Poll 2012’ first exit poll a great success!
Thank you to all that worked a shift at our poll today, you did a great job!
We are posting the Citizen Exit Poll 2012 raw data from the exit poll conducted at Precinct 310 in Melbourne, FL on Primary Election Day, August 14, 2012.
The exit poll went smoothly with no problems and we had a voter exit poll response of 62%.
A few voters were not quite sure they remembered who they had voted for and 4 voters checked off more candidates than allowed for an office, which have some effect on the accuracy of our totals.  However, from our raw data, our exit polls were very close to the official precinct totals when adjusted for the percent of voter response.
Since we had 62% of the voters respond to our exit poll, when we take 62% of the precinct official total votes, our results are fairly accurate.  Below is our raw data from our exit poll:

Candidate
Exit Poll total votes
Precinct total votes
62% of Precinct totals
US Senator



Glen A. Burkett
17
28
17
Connie Mack
34
52
32
Mike McCalister
7
20
12
Bill Nelson
57
92
57
Marielena Stuart
6
11
7
Dave Weldon
124
193
120

Candidate
Exit Poll total votes
Precinct total votes
62% of Precinct totals
State Rep. District 53



John Paul Alvarez
32
46
29
Edward (Ed) Lewis Geier
31
53
33
Tres Holton
37
50
31
John Tobia
99
153
95
Lauren Trent
16
32
20




County Judge Group 10



Judy Atkin
140
236
146
Sean C. Cutshall
38
51
32
Morris Richardson
53
88
55

This shows that exit polls are indeed an accurate and credible indicator of the accuracy of precinct official totals.

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